Polymarket Market

Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
4.8%
Liquidity
$82.07K
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
5.8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 4.8% Current quote
No 95.3% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
5.8%
Depth
7,600.42 / 74,466.82

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%5,686
0.2%20
0.3%451
0.4%10.68
0.7%20
1.2%20
1.3%5.99
1.7%20

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%62.12
99%8,000
98.9%15.09
95%26,320
94.9%7.02
94%4,166
93%1,600
90%9,400

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    No 94.2% 1.13 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    No 96.3% 1.13 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 3.2% 42.85 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    No 94.2% 14.7 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    No 94.3% 11.3 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 3.7% 20.19 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    No 96.2% 5.9 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 3.1% 3.44 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 3.9% 10 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 4% 5.06 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    No 94.2% 31.78 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 2.2% 128.29 shares