Polymarket Market

Obama divorce before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Live
Probability
6.5%
Liquidity
$31.48K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
93%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 6.5% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
93%
Depth
1,872.56 / 29,611.84

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,150
2%360.34
3%306.6
4%15.52
6%40.1

Asks

PriceSize
99%11,783.79
98%8.52
97%1,000
95%1,020
93%751.05
91%5.97
90%3,477.62
87%1,044.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    No 93% 1.06 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    No 94% 1.06 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    Yes 7% 21 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    No 94% 117.02 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    Yes 6% 5 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    Yes 6% 12.5 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    Yes 6% 7.98 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    Yes 6% 22.32 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    Yes 7% 16.23 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    No 92% 1.08 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    No 93% 1.09 shares
  • Obama divorce before 2027?
    No 91% 2.36 shares