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Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsTrumpElectionsprimary electionsDemocratic PrimaryHouse PrimaryNew York PrimaryJune 23 Primaries
Probability
63.5%
Liquidity
$191.95K
Ends
Jun 23, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
36%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 63.5% Current quote
No 36.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
36%
Depth
73,624.17 / 118,327.6

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%2,020
5%7,565.72
7%1,600
11%2,050.2
19%7,327.15
20%2,500
21%3,331.64
25%3,797.7

Asks

PriceSize
99%4,496.01
98%5,831.9
97%20.33
94%2,231.88
90%3,900
88%4,743.96
87%6.43
85%5,492.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    No 36% 50 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    No 36% 128 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    No 36% 50 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    No 36% 50 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    Yes 64% 2,000 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    Yes 63% 50 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    Yes 64% 3.13 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    No 37% 50 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    No 37% 42.29 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    Yes 63% 49.3 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    Yes 63% 0.7 shares
  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
    Yes 63% 50 shares