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Polymarket Market

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsElectionsUnited StatesPrimariesUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsEarn 4%
Probability
7.7%
Liquidity
$21.26M
Ends
Nov 7, 2028
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
7.6%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 7.7% Current quote
No 92.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
7.6%
Depth
4,687,399.59 / 16,569,547.26

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%2,515,956
0.2%1,259,198
0.3%22,000
0.4%587,216
0.5%131,000
0.6%20,333.33
0.8%6,096
1.1%800

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%12,249,326.58
99.8%272,299.85
99.7%2,010,000
99.6%1,075,572.58
99.5%40,005.98
99.4%92,500
99.2%16,384
99.1%40,000

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 1.73 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 2.31 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 1.65 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 1.36 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 2.16 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 1.6 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.3% 58.24 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 70.19 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.3% 52.31 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 52.31 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.3% 27.76 shares
  • Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    No 92.4% 55.23 shares