Polymarket Market

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
90%
Liquidity
$396.22K
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
9%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 90% Current quote
No 10% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
9%
Depth
393,904.45 / 2,316.85

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%302,000
2%6.03
5%24,020
6%31,200
8%18.18
9%9,333.33
14%6,000
18%4,333.33

Asks

PriceSize
99%8.34
98%495
97%21.46
96%100
95%150
94%14
93%850.03
92%374.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    No 9% 73.68 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 89% 1.53 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    No 10% 26.32 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    No 10% 73.68 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 6 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 89% 2.22 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    No 10% 21.33 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 14 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 10 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 89% 20 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 20 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 34.31 shares