Polymarket Market
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 13%
- Liquidity
- $26.76K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 12,158.5 / 14,602.17
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 1,750 |
| 2% | 1,800 |
| 3% | 9.63 |
| 4% | 400 |
| 5% | 400 |
| 6% | 208.51 |
| 7% | 576.81 |
| 8% | 200 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 1,007.4 |
| 98% | 7.37 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 94% | 9.64 |
| 90% | 3,653.84 |
| 87% | 655.85 |
| 80% | 1,450 |
| 77% | 165 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 12% 53.84 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 86% 6 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 88% 6 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 12% 46.15 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 12% 88.23 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 88% 20 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 86% 5.05 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 88% 5.06 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 88% 5 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 86.8% 5 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 88% 5 shares