Polymarket Market

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Live
Probability
5.6%
Liquidity
$301.13K
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
4.8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 5.6% Current quote
No 94.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
4.8%
Depth
128,921.81 / 172,209.03

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%80,296.64
0.2%13,856.67
0.3%7,987.03
0.4%9,695.73
0.5%3,165.37
0.6%2,290.06
0.7%2,062.86
0.8%1,291.05

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%12,158.03
99.8%6,007.68
99.7%14,550
99.6%19.96
99%21,455.29
98.9%1,500
97.9%700
97.8%7.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    Yes 4.8% 84.86 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    No 93.6% 15.44 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    No 93.7% 5.2 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    Yes 5.1% 34.6 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    Yes 5.9% 34.6 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    Yes 6.4% 46.77 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    Yes 4.9% 16.12 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    No 93.2% 39.84 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    No 95.7% 52.19 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    Yes 4.2% 2.85 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    No 95.9% 61.51 shares
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
    No 95.9% 200 shares