Polymarket Market

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Probability

11.9%

Liquidity

$190.73K

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

Best bid

0.1%

Best ask

99.9%

Spread

99.8%

Last trade

10.9%