Polymarket Market
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 77.5%
- Liquidity
- $612.32K
- Ends
- Jun 27, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 22%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 22%
- Depth
- 469,886.15 / 142,432.15
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 338,795 |
| 2% | 13,770 |
| 3% | 8,763.32 |
| 4% | 12,250 |
| 7% | 2,500 |
| 8% | 20,000 |
| 13% | 9,000 |
| 14% | 5,000 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 101,439.99 |
| 98% | 1,800 |
| 97% | 1,806 |
| 96% | 250 |
| 94% | 1,156 |
| 93% | 100 |
| 92% | 125.39 |
| 91% | 1,096 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 78% 12.82 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 78% 387.09 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 78% 12.82 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 79% 7.87 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 79% 2.53 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 33.72 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 33.72 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 33.72 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 33.72 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 78% 2,187.27 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 1,445.45 shares