Polymarket Market

Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Live
Probability
22.4%
Liquidity
$361.53K
Ends
Oct 3, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
79.3%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 22.4% Current quote
No 77.6% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
79.3%
Depth
32,166.34 / 329,362.07

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%8,755
0.2%333
1%14,235.29
4%1,833.82
4.2%240
4.3%132
4.4%1,724
4.5%459

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%10,307.98
99.8%42.19
99.7%10,000
99.6%22.61
99%100,875
98%45,375
97.9%5.64
97%28,875.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 79.3% 2.97 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 79.3% 30 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 79.3% 30 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 82.5% 10 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 79.5% 12.03 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 83.8% 5 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    Yes 15.8% 417.49 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    Yes 15.4% 9.46 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    Yes 15.4% 5.44 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    Yes 15.4% 7.72 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 83.5% 1.15 shares
  • Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
    No 84.1% 7.97 shares