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Polymarket Market

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
PoliticsElectionsCelebritiesPresident
Probability
5.7%
Liquidity
$138.51K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
95.5%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 5.7% Current quote
No 94.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
95.5%
Depth
53,123.82 / 85,389.23

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%41,852
0.2%2,511.74
0.3%23.08
0.5%687
0.6%64.66
2.3%2,000
2.4%214.45
2.6%1,500

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%24.37
99.7%10,000
99.6%9.39
99%6,000
98.9%18.54
95%28,375.24
93%1,000
90%9,398.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 4.5% 7.28 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 5.8% 14.3 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 6.2% 11.5 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 6.2% 26 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 6.3% 20 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 93.7% 20 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 93.4% 76.35 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 95.5% 76.36 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 94% 20 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 94.1% 166 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 4.5% 20 shares
  • Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 5% 100 shares