Polymarket Market
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Live
- Probability
- 50%
- Liquidity
- $1.56K
- Ends
- Sep 8, 2026
- Best bid
- 16.3%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 83.6%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 16.3%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 58.1%
- Spread
- 83.6%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 287.61 / 1,271.52
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 16.3% | 250 |
| 20.2% | 15.13 |
| 20.3% | 22.48 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 943 |
| 99.8% | 100 |
| 99.7% | 66.67 |
| 98.3% | 25 |
| 98.2% | 23.61 |
| 79.4% | 6 |
| 79.2% | 6 |
| 77% | 7.96 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 19.2% 8.5 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes 54.8% 5.02 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 26.6% 7.82 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 46% 7.82 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes 52.6% 7 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 47% 1 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 45.1% 6.28 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 51% 6.28 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 44.5% 8.5 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 30.3% 3 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 34% 2.24 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 49.8% 2.24 shares