Polymarket Market

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Live
Probability
13%
Liquidity
$3.56K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
10%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 13% Current quote
No 87% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
10%
Depth
3,076.19 / 488.54

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,000
2%510
3%312
4%10
5%10
8%227.55
9%1,000
10%6.64

Asks

PriceSize
99%6.76
98%20
97%11
96%8.1
95%20
33%50
18%334
17%23.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 10.1% 421.49 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    No 83.4% 14.34 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 10% 24.32 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    No 88% 50 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 11.5% 78.22 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 33% 33 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 32% 10 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    No 75% 1.29 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 16.1% 435.59 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 14% 96.23 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    Yes 20% 20 shares
  • Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
    No 80% 20 shares