Polymarket Market
Human moon landing in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 3.1%
- Liquidity
- $3.34M
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 96.9%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 96.9%
- Depth
- 181,389.12 / 3,159,889.5
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 147,990 |
| 0.2% | 19,022.59 |
| 0.4% | 2,600 |
| 0.5% | 3,000 |
| 1% | 500 |
| 1.7% | 404.49 |
| 1.8% | 587.75 |
| 2% | 130.59 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 1,090,576 |
| 99.8% | 1,272,544 |
| 99.7% | 210,000 |
| 99.6% | 136,072 |
| 99.5% | 90,000 |
| 99.4% | 32,500 |
| 99.2% | 32,768 |
| 99.1% | 90,000 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.9% 1.03 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3% 100 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.9% 10.61 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 97% 1.03 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 97% 103.09 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3% 20.83 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3.1% 40 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3% 54.68 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.9% 2.12 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3% 18.51 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3% 299.72 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.9% 6 shares