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Polymarket Market

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

Live
FinanceMonthlyHide From NewMonthly HitIndiciesSPXS&P 500S&P
Probability
22.5%
Liquidity
$25.04K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 22.5% Current quote
No 77.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
20,298.48 / 4,739.64

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%10,258.97
2%2,555
3%1,000
4%508.05
5%2,158
7%1,040.29
8%1,219
9%110

Asks

PriceSize
99%64.92
98%10
97%6.66
96%100
95%846.46
90%840.29
80%1,680.58
79%522.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    Yes 23% 20 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    Yes 21% 30.6 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    Yes 21% 10 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 79% 40 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    Yes 21% 20 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 79.2% 47.1 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 80.4% 50 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 80.7% 400 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 80% 9 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 80% 100 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 80% 5 shares
  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
    No 80% 532.91 shares