Polymarket Market
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Conrad’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Conrad indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 53%
- Liquidity
- $615.81
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 98.9%
- Spread
- 98.8%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 98.9%
- Midpoint
- 49.5%
- Spread
- 98.8%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 494.51 / 121.3
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 300 |
| 0.2% | 165 |
| 7.1% | 29.51 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 98.9% | 101.3 |
| 98.8% | 20 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 49% 2.2 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 98.8% 4.04 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7% 2 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 2.1% 12 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.4% 34.89 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.3% 20 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 1.4% 18 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 1.3% 38.61 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 1.4% 19.61 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 48.9% 10.5 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 48.9% 15.2 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.1% 0.98 shares