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Polymarket Market

Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesRepublican PrimaryNew Hampshire PrimaryHouse PrimarySeptember 8 Primaries
Probability
4.7%
Liquidity
$91.59K
Ends
Sep 8, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 4.7% Current quote
No 95.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
4,247.48 / 87,340.1

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%450
0.6%3,073.28
1%200
1.3%100
1.5%79
3.1%90
3.2%233.6
3.3%21.6

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%23.95
99.7%10,000
99.6%24.1
99%8,200
98%50
97.9%6.82
97%33.33
96%25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 19 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 97% 31 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 97% 50 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 93% 1.23 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 1.24 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 15 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 31.86 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 25 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 10.1 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 96% 30 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    Yes 6% 50 shares
  • Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 95% 10 shares