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Polymarket Market

Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesRepublican PrimaryNew Hampshire PrimaryHouse PrimarySeptember 8 Primaries
Probability
12.5%
Liquidity
$11.18K
Ends
Sep 8, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
18%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 12.5% Current quote
No 87.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
18%
Depth
857.4 / 10,318.94

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%300
2%300
3%165
4%50
7%12.86
8%29.54

Asks

PriceSize
99%4,108.03
98%59.78
97%433.33
96%3,425
95%40
94%22.68
93%14.29
92%12.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 82% 10 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    Yes 15% 50 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 68% 19 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 68% 31 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    Yes 21% 5 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 77.2% 15 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 75% 31.86 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 70% 5 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 70% 5 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 79% 25 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    Yes 25% 10 shares
  • Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
    No 79% 10.13 shares