Polymarket Market

Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Live
Probability
24.7%
Liquidity
$1.85K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
34.9%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 24.7% Current quote
No 75.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
34.9%
Depth
1,126.32 / 722.45

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%650
2%100
2.1%55
7.2%59.99
11.5%110
14%110.3
14.2%10
14.5%19.03

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%150
95%20
94.8%21
94.7%37
64%30
61%30
58%30
55%30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 34.9% 84.33 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 21% 6.2 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 20.8% 81.6 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 20.8% 4.81 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 10.8% 1.07 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 75.8% 1.3 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 91.8% 1.31 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 12.5% 4.76 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 21% 4.76 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 21% 4.76 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 16.6% 103.53 shares
  • Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 28% 25.71 shares