Polymarket Market
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Live
- Probability
- 38.5%
- Liquidity
- $132.03K
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 39%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 39%
- Depth
- 37,255.46 / 94,770.12
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 20,547.65 |
| 2% | 94.55 |
| 5% | 7,009.53 |
| 7% | 1,700 |
| 10% | 2,154.76 |
| 11% | 413.42 |
| 15% | 1,403.17 |
| 16% | 450 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 23.8 |
| 98% | 37,688.1 |
| 96% | 12,500 |
| 95% | 8.28 |
| 93% | 14,425.17 |
| 92% | 2,800 |
| 91% | 2,000 |
| 89% | 1,018.18 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 61% 2 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes 38% 50 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 63% 7.62 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 60% 70 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes 40% 70 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes 39% 30 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 60% 17.97 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 63% 3.16 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes 38.9% 300 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 63% 20 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 63% 6 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No 63% 31.71 shares