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Polymarket Market

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Live
PoliticsTrumpGeopoliticsTariffsTrade WarWorld
Probability
16.5%
Liquidity
$31.81K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 16.5% Current quote
No 83.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
2,718.39 / 29,093.16

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,523.44
2%465
3%225.11
4%125
5%166
6%136.18
7%20.66
8%30

Asks

PriceSize
99%8,007.56
98%7.41
96%6,344.05
95%20
93%4,925.17
92%7
89%2,067
84%2,742.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    No 82.1% 46 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 10% 396.5 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    No 89.9% 442.5 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 8.4% 17.02 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 12% 4.69 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 14% 10.7 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 11% 5 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 5.5% 31.63 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 15.8% 31.64 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 14% 815.41 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 14% 794.84 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    No 88% 413 shares