Polymarket Market

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Live
Probability
64.5%
Liquidity
$175.35K
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 64.5% Current quote
No 35.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
96,342.67 / 79,009.53

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%30,008.61
3%14,000
4%7.64
5%186.76
7%12,000
12%570
13%470
14%9,300

Asks

PriceSize
99%30,606.95
98%600
97%14,000
96%600
95%6.44
94%2,000
90%9,000
89%12,171.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 62% 539.7 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 66% 44.99 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 66.7% 30 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 63.4% 31.54 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 60% 44.99 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 52.4% 410 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 63% 2.59 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    No 30.9% 43.28 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 31% 1.63 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    No 33% 0.7 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 65.3% 2,462.52 shares
  • Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    Yes 68% 99.99 shares