TokensHive
Dashboard 🇪🇸

Polymarket Market

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Live
PoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFed RatesEconomy
Probability
35%
Liquidity
$31.27K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
75%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 35% Current quote
No 65% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
75%
Depth
1,916.78 / 29,348.77

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,126.91
2%200
3%16.25
4%241
10%159
12%6.07
13%50
15%9.95

Asks

PriceSize
99%14,629.44
98%2,559.94
95%853.62
94%698.85
89%700
88%216.66
87%361
86%5.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 26.6% 218.77 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 45.7% 218.77 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 45% 5.29 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 66% 1.52 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 56.4% 19.98 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 57% 7 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 67% 39.77 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 68% 7 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 34% 47.06 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 48% 37.11 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 35% 37.11 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 48% 28.57 shares