Polymarket Market
Prediction market
Track current outcome prices, market depth, volume, liquidity, and recent trades for Prediction market.
Upcoming
- Probability
- 50%
- Liquidity
- $75.58K
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 50%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 50%
- Depth
- 38,150.93 / 37,428.72
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 21,195.99 |
| 2% | 1,600 |
| 3% | 10.88 |
| 7% | 600 |
| 9% | 3,600 |
| 10% | 340 |
| 11% | 7.44 |
| 15% | 2,032 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 20,912.52 |
| 98% | 9,807.05 |
| 97% | 5,582 |
| 96% | 185.35 |
| 90% | 141 |
| 89% | 8.04 |
| 80% | 500 |
| 79% | 145 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?No 50% 12.69 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 49% 19 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 46.6% 10 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 38% 23.74 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 37% 47.49 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 28% 10.11 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 27.1% 7.09 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 27.8% 19.66 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?No 80% 2.05 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 20% 9.4 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 37% 20 shares