Polymarket Market

Prediction market

Track current outcome prices, market depth, volume, liquidity, and recent trades for Prediction market.

Upcoming
Probability
91%
Liquidity
$9.85K
Best bid
2%
Best ask
99%
Spread
97%
Last trade
91%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 91% Current quote
No 91% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
2%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50.5%
Spread
97%
Last trade
91%
Depth
2,057.11 / 7,796.32

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
2%175
3%508
4%112.5
6%79.31
7%23.34
8%52.37
9%994.49
10%112.1

Asks

PriceSize
99%2,000
98%1,000
95%20
94%1,500
89%700
84%550
74%138.46
72%597

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    Yes 9% 86.08 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    Yes 10.5% 22.72 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    No 86% 11.24 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    No 89% 11.24 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    No 83% 1.37 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    No 89% 1.37 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    Yes 3.1% 300 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    No 85% 20 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    No 80% 1.64 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    Yes 17% 161.34 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    Yes 18% 250 shares
  • Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
    Yes 18% 260 shares