Polymarket Market

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Live
Probability
11.7%
Liquidity
$87.09K
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
82.6%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 11.7% Current quote
No 88.3% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
82.6%
Depth
11,310.32 / 75,780.42

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%3,744
0.2%2,741.44
0.9%1,076.08
1%341
3%55
3.5%974.8
3.8%1,750
3.9%307

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%27,000
99.8%26.33
97%13,000
96.9%10.94
94%8,000
89.2%333.33
85.7%5,895.8
84%1,500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    No 82.6% 2.22 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 5.2% 51 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 9.7% 22.3 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 9.6% 42 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 5.3% 563 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    No 92.8% 2.16 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 7.2% 0.78 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    No 87.4% 7.95 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    No 87.4% 14.99 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 12.7% 15.75 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 10% 51 shares
  • Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
    Yes 10% 10 shares