Polymarket Market

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
32.5%
Liquidity
$21.57K
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
91%
Spread
90%
Last trade
67%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 32.5% Current quote
No 67.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
91%
Midpoint
46%
Spread
90%
Last trade
67%
Depth
17,389.46 / 4,180.58

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%8,125
2%3,718.76
3%2,354.16
4%1,468.76
5%628.98
6%250
8%20
9%128.06

Asks

PriceSize
91%411
87%1,100
86%257
82%622.22
79%300
78%345.45
73%259.25
72%214

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 33% 3.09 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 22% 5 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 21.4% 12.5 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    No 62% 3.63 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 41.9% 11.95 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 27.6% 140 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    No 50% 6.94 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    No 51% 7.98 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    No 51% 5 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    No 68% 40 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 27.9% 20 shares
  • Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
    No 46% 116.31 shares