Polymarket Market
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 13.5%
- Liquidity
- $16.56K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 1,533.03 / 15,026.8
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 519.24 |
| 2% | 450 |
| 3% | 7.06 |
| 4% | 426 |
| 5% | 100 |
| 6% | 6.33 |
| 7% | 19.4 |
| 8% | 5 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2,008.83 |
| 98% | 1,008.53 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 94% | 2,100 |
| 93% | 900 |
| 92% | 6.56 |
| 88% | 1,567 |
| 87% | 667 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No 80% 1.16 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No 91% 1.16 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No 88% 1.14 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 26.7% 18.74 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No 91% 3.1 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 16.8% 32.96 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 18% 25 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No 82% 25 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 18% 3.33 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 24% 6.16 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No 83% 2.41 shares