Polymarket Market

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
66.5%
Liquidity
$10.08K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
17%
Best ask
99%
Spread
82%
Last trade
23%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 66.5% Current quote
No 33.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
17%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
58%
Spread
82%
Last trade
23%
Depth
277.42 / 9,797.93

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
17%250
30%14.4
58%13.02

Asks

PriceSize
99%6,000
98%20
96%3,500
95%20
94%50
87%7.93
86%75
75%125

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 23.5% 16.32 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 30% 10 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 32.1% 26.32 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 22% 0.36 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 75% 11.35 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 23% 5.84 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 63% 35 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 71% 30 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 19% 6 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 31% 6.46 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 32.7% 15.02 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 74% 1.35 shares