Polymarket Market

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
21.5%
Liquidity
$558.84K
Ends
Jun 27, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
78%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 21.5% Current quote
No 78.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
78%
Depth
39,205.85 / 519,631.78

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%5
4%200
5%800
6%91.19
10%10
11%15
12%25
15%7,000

Asks

PriceSize
99%340,025
98%14,510
97%9,250
96%56,500
95%20,000
94%20
93%2,500
92%9,000

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 10 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 184.87 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 79% 96.46 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 5 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 109.56 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 22.73 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 30.15 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 22% 8.04 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 79% 12.28 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 79% 50.63 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 79% 3.8 shares
  • Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 79% 5.06 shares