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Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Live
PoliticsGeopoliticsParlaysWorld20 (50) daily
Probability
81.5%
Liquidity
$797.15K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 81.5% Current quote
No 18.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%
Depth
166,084.79 / 631,064.48

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%33,006.85
2%10.39
3%7,333.33
4%23,844.05
5%4,200
7%2,857.14
8%14,000
9%5.63

Asks

PriceSize
99%520,505.95
98%7,058
97%52,758.96
96%21,875
95%9,373.1
94%10,000
93%2,630.5
92%380

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 18.5% 54.18 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 10 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 17% 0.01 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 17% 0.56 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 17% 3.22 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 83% 1.2 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 18% 5.56 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 81% 24.23 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 15.5% 298.99 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 16.1% 55 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 15% 70.18 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 17% 116 shares