Polymarket Market

Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Live
Probability
4%
Liquidity
$228.97K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
95.9%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 4% Current quote
No 96% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
95.9%
Depth
89,649.09 / 139,319.44

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%86,211
0.2%87.11
0.5%1,071.64
3.8%1,904.77
3.9%374.57

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%13,016.64
99.8%7,500
99.7%10,009.04
99.6%5,000
99.4%2,500
99.3%10.21
99.1%1,020.47
99%22,250

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 95.9% 1.19 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96.1% 1.2 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 95.9% 1.04 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96.1% 1.04 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96.1% 5 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    Yes 4% 33 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96% 10 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96% 5 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96% 5 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96% 5 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    No 96% 5 shares
  • Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
    Yes 3.9% 11.3 shares