Polymarket Market
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 10.6%
- Liquidity
- $168.97K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 7.3%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 7.3%
- Depth
- 74,770.8 / 94,201.12
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 66,555 |
| 0.2% | 4,199.95 |
| 0.3% | 672 |
| 0.4% | 19.43 |
| 1% | 500 |
| 1.1% | 13.35 |
| 2% | 210 |
| 2.4% | 143 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 159.53 |
| 99.8% | 7.75 |
| 99.7% | 10,000 |
| 99.6% | 9.62 |
| 99% | 2,000 |
| 98.9% | 18.67 |
| 95% | 16,075.24 |
| 94.9% | 40.24 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 92.7% 3 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94% 38.89 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94% 24.56 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.8% 24.56 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.7% 124.45 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.6% 129.16 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.2% 21.82 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94.9% 842.02 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94.9% 2.32 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94.9% 1.87 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94.8% 23.74 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94.8% 17.44 shares