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Polymarket Market

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Cryptotoken launchPre-MarketVariational
Probability
55%
Liquidity
$65.5K
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
67.3%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 55% Current quote
No 45% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
67.3%
Depth
63,351.47 / 2,152.69

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%24,490.69
0.2%6,875.04
0.3%4,381.11
0.4%3,125
0.5%1,750
0.6%1,354.16
0.7%982.13
0.8%781.24

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%6
99.8%1,000
99.7%36.14
97%5.26
96.3%327.45
96%296.42
95%107.75
94.7%10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 67.4% 25.34 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 78.9% 25.34 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 18.4% 19.72 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 22% 57.81 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 81.8% 1.83 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 22% 54.86 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 78% 1.59 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 78.2% 1.6 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 19.1% 449.57 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 5.7% 15.26 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 2% 100 shares
  • Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
    No 11% 7.34 shares