Polymarket Market

Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Live
Probability
35.9%
Liquidity
$2.44K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
30%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 35.9% Current quote
No 64.1% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
30%
Depth
1,682.31 / 754.3

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%456
9%33
10%33
11%1,000
28%30
30%30.31
35%100

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%150
95%20
93.4%30
86.1%40
85.9%40
85.7%30
85.5%30
85.3%30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 30% 37.11 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    Yes 31% 103.17 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.1% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 41.2% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 40.8% 1.4 shares
  • Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
    No 71% 1.41 shares