Polymarket Market

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Live
Probability
38.5%
Liquidity
$171.9K
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 38.5% Current quote
No 61.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
76,285.04 / 95,613.86

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%25,609.31
2%600
3%17,000
4%600
5%5.97
8%13,300
9%600
15%2,582.98

Asks

PriceSize
99%35,008.79
98%600
97%15,000
96%600
95%6.08
94%2,000
93%600
92%450

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 35% 8.69 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 42% 11.6 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 42% 26.19 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 41.9% 47.74 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    No 58% 4.97 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    No 70% 5 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    No 64% 4.69 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 37.1% 1,428.17 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 41% 73.17 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    Yes 40% 217.5 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    No 62% 392 shares
  • Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
    No 62% 564 shares