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Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsDemocratic PrimaryHouse PrimaryNew York PrimaryJune 23 Primaries
Probability
79%
Liquidity
$146.81K
Ends
Jun 23, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 79% Current quote
No 21% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%
Depth
111,203.56 / 35,608.44

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%8,450.01
4%37,944.05
8%12,700
12%9,281.35
16%6,386.01
17%1,058
20%3,300
24%3,640.67

Asks

PriceSize
99%7,547.97
98%11.68
97%3,514.24
96%11.55
94%200
93%29.68
92%400
91%200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    Yes 80% 2.5 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    No 20% 2.53 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    No 20% 2 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    No 21% 42 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    Yes 79% 2.53 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    No 21% 44 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    Yes 79% 70 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    No 22% 5 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    No 20% 208.75 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    Yes 79% 24 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    Yes 79% 30 shares
  • Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
    Yes 77.7% 91 shares