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Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsDemocratic PrimaryHouse PrimaryMassachusetts PrimarySeptember 1 Primaries
Probability
21.7%
Liquidity
$169.34K
Ends
Sep 15, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 21.7% Current quote
No 78.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
68,158.44 / 101,181.97

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%300
0.2%67,068.36
0.5%10
0.6%10
0.7%10
0.9%10
1.4%10
2.6%55

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%28.91
99.7%10,000
99.5%12.2
99%8,000
98.3%6.08
96%37,944.05
95.8%8.54
92%14,422.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    No 81.9% 6.94 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 11.4% 5 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 11.4% 0.2 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 19.7% 31.95 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 19.9% 5 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 19.8% 33.97 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 11.6% 9.8 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 30.4% 10 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 10.6% 30 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 9.1% 58 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    Yes 6.6% 44 shares
  • Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
    No 94.9% 100 shares