Polymarket Market
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Live
- Probability
- 19%
- Liquidity
- $39.39K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 19%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 19%
- Depth
- 30,751.34 / 8,635.72
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 11,275 |
| 2% | 7,538.53 |
| 3% | 1,379.98 |
| 4% | 12.27 |
| 5% | 820 |
| 6% | 1,750.13 |
| 7% | 40 |
| 8% | 1,338.78 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 34.38 |
| 98% | 110 |
| 97% | 6.65 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 92% | 2,990 |
| 91% | 6.84 |
| 89% | 600 |
| 84% | 450 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 19% 61.53 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 80% 150 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 20% 32 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 22.4% 89.35 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 22% 9.09 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 78% 113 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 76% 55.43 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 77% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 77.2% 603.13 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 20% 38 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 78.9% 100.2 shares