Polymarket Market
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Probability
- 64.5%
- Liquidity
- $95.52K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2028
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 30%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 30%
- Depth
- 63,492.46 / 32,023.16
Price history
Waiting for price history
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 25,008.82 |
| 2% | 6.53 |
| 3% | 12,000 |
| 4% | 8.91 |
| 6% | 2,000 |
| 7% | 400 |
| 8% | 450 |
| 10% | 8,780 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 10,007.55 |
| 98% | 13.07 |
| 97% | 5,000 |
| 96% | 2,867.28 |
| 95% | 6.38 |
| 94% | 1,331.67 |
| 93% | 7,040.06 |
| 92% | 400 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 70% 14.99 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 57% 6.67 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 28% 19 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 28% 19 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 28% 19.75 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 72% 3.12 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 27% 29.35 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 72% 5.07 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 73% 3.7 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 72% 155 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 27% 8.1 shares