Polymarket Market

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

Live
Probability
20.5%
Liquidity
$299.41K
Ends
Sep 20, 2026
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 20.5% Current quote
No 79.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%
Depth
16,922.06 / 282,492.85

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%7,542.72
2%8.4
4%2,685.68
5%7.47
7%13.4
10%15
17%250
18%1,059.36

Asks

PriceSize
99%81,168.86
98%34,031.25
97%21,656.25
96%54,218.31
95%20
92%20,136.07
91%9,500
90%1,440

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 312.5 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 20% 57.47 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 10 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 33.22 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 5 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 5 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 6.42 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 7.1 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 20% 54.99 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 29.41 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 12.98 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 7 shares