Polymarket Market

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Live
Probability
15.5%
Liquidity
$2.15M
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
84%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 15.5% Current quote
No 84.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
84%
Depth
1,365,701.38 / 781,688.44

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,131,866.21
2%81,012.15
3%38,840.08
4%18,100.08
5%6,166.84
6%29,610.08
7%2,615.86
8%2,210

Asks

PriceSize
99%615,358.55
98%7,100
97%5.01
95%168.75
94%8,000
93%7.37
90%110
89%8,863.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 84% 14 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 85% 1,000 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 85% 2,000 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 85% 1.29 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 85% 2,000 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 84% 296.13 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 84% 1.23 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 84% 15 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 17% 6 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 16% 3.33 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 18% 83.33 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 15% 5 shares