Polymarket Market
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 8.8%
- Liquidity
- $88.82K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 52,151.8 / 36,670.34
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 45,034 |
| 0.2% | 3,389.49 |
| 0.3% | 1,667 |
| 0.4% | 21.07 |
| 1% | 517.17 |
| 1.1% | 211.26 |
| 1.5% | 10 |
| 1.6% | 13.55 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 159.01 |
| 99.8% | 7.54 |
| 99.7% | 10,000 |
| 99.6% | 9.38 |
| 99% | 6,000 |
| 98.9% | 14.1 |
| 95% | 3,675.24 |
| 93% | 4,525.17 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 7.4% 41.66 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 12.3% 40 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 8.2% 50 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 7.6% 9.34 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 7.5% 48.33 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 7.8% 3.26 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No 87.7% 1.3 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No 92.7% 1.31 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 10.7% 9.35 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 8% 40 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 8% 29.88 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No 93% 479.99 shares