Polymarket Market
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 14%
- Liquidity
- $71.32K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.7%
- Spread
- 99.6%
- Last trade
- 26.3%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.7%
- Midpoint
- 49.9%
- Spread
- 99.6%
- Last trade
- 26.3%
- Depth
- 53,868.62 / 17,456.16
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 48,684 |
| 0.2% | 2,374 |
| 0.3% | 336 |
| 0.7% | 20 |
| 1.2% | 20 |
| 1.7% | 20 |
| 2.2% | 20 |
| 2.3% | 152.17 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.7% | 12,000 |
| 98% | 1,000 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 93.9% | 1,600 |
| 89% | 700 |
| 84% | 550 |
| 81.5% | 49.99 |
| 76.4% | 605.08 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.3% 7.6 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.4% 17 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 17.8% 5.11 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 75.1% 1.06 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 17.8% 1.07 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 74.6% 1.08 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 93.2% 1.07 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 76% 1.06 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 93.5% 1.07 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.6% 25.18 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 69.2% 3.19 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.7% 25.19 shares