Polymarket Market

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live

Probability: 6.5%
Liquidity: $77.2K
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
Best bid: 1%
Best ask: 99%
Spread: 98%
Last trade: 6%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 6.5% Current quote

No 93.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid: 1%
Best ask: 99%
Midpoint: 50%
Spread: 98%
Last trade: 6%
Depth: 4,155.71 / 73,042.05

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

Price	Size
1%	1,200
2%	1,800
3%	1,005
4%	150.71

Asks

Price	Size
99%	6,500
95%	27,575.24
93%	1,300
92%	25
90%	10,277.62
86%	8,479.58
81%	5,471.04
76%	3,290.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 6% 458.75 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 8% 6 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

No 89% 1.18 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

No 94% 1.19 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 6% 155.71 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 8% 15 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 6.2% 1,307.48 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 14% 9 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

No 77% 30 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 9% 158.97 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Yes 7.8% 1,307.48 shares
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

No 93% 30 shares