Polymarket Market
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Live
- Probability
- 17.5%
- Liquidity
- $6.69K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 81%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 81%
- Depth
- 338.7 / 6,354.92
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 9.49 |
| 2% | 100 |
| 3% | 55 |
| 4% | 17.22 |
| 9% | 14.99 |
| 10% | 19 |
| 13% | 20 |
| 15% | 83 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2,006.38 |
| 98% | 7.94 |
| 94% | 1,500 |
| 93% | 8.01 |
| 89% | 600 |
| 84% | 550 |
| 82% | 25 |
| 76% | 300 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 81% 3.87 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 82.7% 25.22 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 84% 8 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 18.75 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 33.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 84% 13.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 40.97 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 86% 2.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 86% 1.16 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 85% 7.05 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 4.8 shares