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Polymarket Market

Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryHouse PrimaryFlorida PrimaryAugust 18 Primaries
Probability
43.5%
Liquidity
$621.49
Ends
Aug 18, 2026
Best bid
2%
Best ask
99%
Spread
97%
Last trade
65%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 43.5% Current quote
No 56.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
2%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50.5%
Spread
97%
Last trade
65%
Depth
114.28 / 507.21

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
2%51
3%63.28

Asks

PriceSize
99%16.83
98%100
97%18.75
95%100
92%164
91%9.3
90%75
85%23.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 63.1% 6.37 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 64% 27 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 64% 5.03 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 65% 5.03 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 32% 7.79 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 66% 7.34 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    No 34% 10.13 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 66% 5 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 61% 5.63 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 48% 27 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 49% 5.04 shares
  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
    Yes 49% 5.04 shares