Polymarket Market
NATO article 5 before 2027?
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Live
- Probability
- 6.5%
- Liquidity
- $184.06K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 94%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 94%
- Depth
- 2,046.95 / 182,011.43
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 357.05 |
| 2% | 820.34 |
| 3% | 152.24 |
| 4% | 430 |
| 5% | 60 |
| 6% | 227.32 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 52,188.17 |
| 98% | 37,808.52 |
| 95% | 18,575.24 |
| 94% | 600 |
| 93% | 7.68 |
| 91% | 13,530.68 |
| 90% | 2,500 |
| 86% | 10,608.15 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 93.3% 53.61 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 9% 17 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 92% 1,086.96 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 8% 9.09 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 92% 217.39 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 92% 1.17 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 8% 48 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 90% 76.7 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 8% 25 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?No 91.2% 219.31 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 9% 133.67 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares