Polymarket Market

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Live
Probability
3.5%
Liquidity
$72.8K
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
4.4%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 3.5% Current quote
No 96.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
4.4%
Depth
11,053.71 / 61,747.61

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%8,555
0.3%9.08
0.4%972.96
0.5%1,113.04
0.6%200
0.7%165
0.9%21
2.7%17.63

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%22,100
99.8%34.1
97%11,000
96%2,175
95.8%50
95.7%7.53
90%13,000
87.6%290.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 95.6% 2.05 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 95.7% 1.24 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    Yes 5.6% 20.71 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.3% 1 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.3% 1 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    Yes 1.5% 417.65 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.2% 1.53 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.2% 5.05 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.2% 1.01 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.2% 1.01 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97.2% 9.03 shares
  • Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
    No 97% 10.15 shares