Polymarket Market
Prediction market
Track current outcome prices, market depth, volume, liquidity, and recent trades for Prediction market.
Upcoming
- Probability
- 83%
- Liquidity
- $13.16K
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 83%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 83%
- Depth
- 9,207.48 / 3,957.3
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 2,037.32 |
| 2% | 1,015 |
| 3% | 6.66 |
| 5% | 10 |
| 6% | 605.69 |
| 10% | 300 |
| 15% | 40 |
| 19% | 1,152 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 182.49 |
| 98% | 264.86 |
| 97% | 12.64 |
| 96% | 30 |
| 95% | 7.58 |
| 94% | 83.33 |
| 93% | 16.8 |
| 90% | 20 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes 83% 23.8 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16.6% 60.22 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16% 25.94 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16% 31.25 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16% 12 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 18% 25 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16% 38 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes 84% 88.41 shares